With a recent study by Edinburgh
University claiming there is probably intelligent life elsewhere
in the cosmos, and recent scientific discoveries pointing to the
possibility of life on other worlds in our solar system, Steve
Arnott explores some of the evidence and asks just what would it
mean if there really is Life on Mars?
Life on Mars! screamed the Sun
headline. At least something up there is causing
all that wind they added in brackets.
A story that was treated with the proper
restraint by most of the media became a headline grabber for the
Murdoch flagship, perhaps over eager for a scoop on
the rest of the journalistic world. Of course, what had
been found by NASA scientists was not proof of life
on Mars at all, at least not in the sense of incontrovertible and
unchallengeable proof. What they had found was
compelling evidence that indicated the real possibility of simple
microbial life on Mars, yet another piece in a scientific
jigsaw puzzle that increasingly points to the intriguing
perhaps of life existing, or having existed at one
time, on the Red planet.
| NASA analysis of data from orbiting Mars
satellites had revealed strong plumes of methane over the
surface of Mars. Methane is either a by-product of
geological or biological activity. 90% of the
methane in Earths atmosphere is produced by life
and the remainder by volcanic activity. There are
no active volcanoes on Mars, however, and the fact that
the methane plumes were very specifically geographically
located and seasonal in their intensity led NASA to
comment that, although a non-biological explanation could
not yet be ruled out, there was a considerable
probability that these plumes were caused by some form of
biological activity. |
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Essentially there are only three possible
explanations for the existence of these plumes
1)
geological activity but no evidence exists as yet for such
activity
2)
frozen methane created by extinct organisms gradually being
released into the atmosphere by seasonal warming but such
a store of methane would be expelled and dissolved
rapidly in geological terms unless it had a means of renewing
itself, or
3)
the metabolic action of existing life forms (probably simple)
living on or below the surface of Mars.
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Compared to the rich collective cultural
mythos relating to fictional life on Mars, from the
canals glimpsed by Edwardian astronomers,
H.G. Wells tripod invaders and the boys own
imagery of Edgar Rice Burroughs, right through to Arnie
blasting away the bad guys in Total Recall, the
possibility of belching microbes on Mars may not seem so
exciting. After all, we are the Star Wars and
Doctor Who generation. Like African-American
Presidents of the USA, the idea of aliens is one that has
been normalised in our culture through films, books and
TV. It would perhaps be understandable that an
underwhelmed public might expect news of alien life to be
about the proverbial bug eyed monster, and not more
prosaically about, well
bugs. |
But life is life, and the discovery of its
existence off-planet, however basic in form, would be epoch
making. The recent methane discovery is only one in a
number of indicators that have come to light in the last 10-15
years that appear to be tipping the balance of evidence in favour
of life existing or having had existed at one time on our nearest
planetary neighbour.
In 1996, a group of scientists from
NASAs Johnson Space Centre published a paper in Science magazine
which received world wide publicity. The paper outlined
evidence for fossilised life found in the meteorite ALH84001,
which landed in the Antarctic over 13, 000 years ago, having been
ejected into space from Mars after a large meteorite impact some
16 million years ago (if you want to know how scientists could
possibly work all this out from a rock google evidence of
ancient martian life in meteorite ALH84001'.
Although trumpeted at the time by the media
and no less a personage than then US President Clinton as
proof of life on Mars, the actual scientists involved
in the research were very much more circumspect and careful in
their presentation of the evidence, claiming only that the three
possible indicators of microbial life found in the meteorite were
strong evidence pointing towards primitive bacterial life. These
three indicators were
This was followed by a series of discoveries
of water or water flow features on Mars. It has long been
known that water was locked up in the icy Martian poles, and it
was considered eminently possible that water existed as
permafrost under the martian surface. A number of groups
looking at the geology of the Red planet from satellite images
drew the conclusion that a number of features could only be
explained by large bodies of water flowing over the Martian
surface at some point in the deep geological past. Although
this view is by no means universal, it has gained widespread
acceptance over the last few years.
Then Canadian researchers from Guelph
University in Toronto, led by Professor Iain Campbell, looking
into samples of soil from the Mars Spirit rover found water
trapped in the Martian surface (at the sampled part) with a
concentration of up to 16%.
| The Mars rovers looking at the
geology and the geochemistry have strong proof for water
in the geological past, Professor Campbell said at
the time of the discovery. The orbiting satellites
have got very strong evidence for water in the present.
Our measurement is the first quantative measurement of
water in a well-defined lump of material on the surface
of the planet. |
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Water is, of course, one of the fundamental
pre-requisites for life (at least as we know it, Jim.)
None of this is yet the smoking
gun kind of proof of life that scientists are looking for,
but collectively it is beginning to build up a reasonable case
that there is probably something there. Will that
smoking gun be found in our lifetime? My advice
is dont bet against it.
But why would proof of life on Mars be so
important?
As the world celebrates the 200th
anniversary of the birth of Charles Darwin, a plethora of
television documentaries and magazine articles have investigated
and analysed his theory of natural selection, and celebrated the
now undisputed scientific fact (the dim-witted views of
creationist cranks excepted) of the evolution of countless
diverse and complex organisms across the face of the Earth from
simple single celled life over the period of the last three
billion years.
No-one seriously doubts these days either
the huge body of evidence for evolution, or the ability of the
modern Darwinian synthesis to account scientifically for life on
Earth in all its aspects. The question still arises,
however, as to whether life only ever got started on this single
speck of planetary dust orbiting our sun one of 400
billion stellar systems in this galaxy alone or whether
the shift from organic chemical compounds to organic replicators,
which then come under selection pressures and are opened up to
the dynamic evolutionary process, is a much more common process
throughout the universe.
Probably the majority view in science now is
that it would be statistically very surprising if the former was
true. If proof of life, even very simple cellular life,
existing on or ever having had existed on another world was
found, it would mean, in conjunction with all the other evidence,
that the probability would be vastly increased that life was a
fairly widespread and common phenomena throughout the universe.
The number of extra-solar planets already discovered orbiting
other suns (now around 400), the sheer number of stars out there
(more than the number of grains of sand currently on planet
Earth), and the fact that natural selection is a universal, not
local process, in principle, would make it highly likely that
other conscious and intelligent species of life, including
advanced alien societies, exist right now in our galaxy,
concurrently to ourselves, separated from us epistemologically
only by the vast, deep light year distances of time and space.
Based on a modern version of the famous
Drake equations, taking into account the relatively recent
discovery of the abundance of extra solar planets and assuming
that life could exist only in the so-called
Goldilocks zone of orbit around a star (not too cold,
not too hot) in which an earth like world could develop,
Edinburgh University researchers recently concluded that the
likelihood was that between 300 and 38,000 advanced civilisations
existed in our galaxy alone. These figures did not take into
account the now seriously discussed possibilities of life
existing elsewhere in our solar system outside the
Goldilocks zone, such as on Mars, or possibly beneath
the ice of Jupiters moon, Europa.
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Those who cling to the view
that life on Earth is unique say that, yes, evolution
provides an abundance of life once life gets started, but
that the jump from organic molecules to simple organic
replicators is so unlikely, so rare, that it may have
happened only once, here on Earth, around three billion
years ago. Those who cling to supernatural
explanations of life may even concede the evolutionary
point to Darwin, but say that this moment, the move from
the organic but non-living to the simplest form of life
can only be explained by divine intervention. |
The discovery of life on Mars or any other
non-terrestrial body whether living or long extinct
would blow away the last vestiges of the supernatural view of the
world and bring an end to the idea of Earth as unique, and
humankind as some favoured, special and unique aspect of
creation. It would mean a cultural and scientific paradigm
shift where we would have to start to seriously concede the
likelihood that Homo sapiens may be but one conscious and
intelligent species among many others still potentially to be
encountered or discovered.
The discovery of life on Mars could be the
first step down a whole new existential road for our species, and
perhaps the only way to find out for sure whether or not life
exists on Mars is to go there and see for ourselves.
The new American President, Barack Obama,
likes to echo liberal political heroes from Americas past,
such as Martin Luther King or John F. Kennedy. He could do
worse than echo JFKs commitment to put a man on the moon
within 10 years, made in1963, and commit to a international
manned expedition to Mars by 2025.
Such a thing would be costly to be sure, but
probably less costly and more ultimately productive than bailing
out failed bank after failed bank to the tune of trillions of
dollars. Many socialists traditionally, almost as a
knee-jerk reaction, object to space exploration when we have so
many outstanding problems here on Earth. There is a
non-religious sense, however, in which humankind cannot, and
should not, live by bread alone.
We use the technological spin-offs from the
Apollo missions in our everyday lives. We were, as a
species, immeasurably culturally enriched when Neil Armstrong
stepped onto the surface of the Moon over 40 years ago
now.
A manned expedition to Mars would be a great
communal adventure for all humankind, and if microbial life
exists or has existed on Mars, then the most important fact since
natural selection itself lies in wait there to be discovered.
Steve Arnott